Hungary market perspective, 2026
The scale of the move
EUR/HUF, 2023–25 average through late June 2026
Context
1
2023–2025 average — the "weak forint" baseline that underpinned Hungary's price-competitive positioning internationally
2
Q1 2026 (pre-election) — peak weakness; elevated political risk premium ahead of the vote
3
12 April 2026 (election night) — immediate market reaction to change of power
4
Mid-June 2026 — strongest forint level in nearly five years
5
Late June 2026 — current trading range
EUR/HUF exchange rate by period: 2023–2025 average approximately 395–410, the weak-forint baseline; Q1 2026 pre-election approximately 395–400, peak weakness; 12 April 2026 election night, fell below 370, immediate market reaction; mid-June 2026 approximately 345–350, strongest forint level in nearly five years; late June 2026 approximately 354–356, current trading range.
PeriodEUR/HUF (approx.)Context
2023–2025 average~395–410The "weak forint" baseline that underpinned Hungary's price-competitive positioning internationally
Q1 2026 (pre-election)~395–400Peak weakness; elevated political risk premium ahead of the vote
12 April 2026 (election night)Fell below 370Immediate market reaction to change of power
Mid-June 2026~345–350Strongest forint level in nearly five years
Late June 2026~354–356Current trading range