Where the value sits, and where the downside falls

Hypothetical manager; present values, $ millions

Illustrative only
Forecast years 1 to 5Terminal period, after year 5
Base case enterprise value
4.72
7.41
$12.12M
Loss in the forecast years
−$0.77M
Loss in the terminal period
−$1.39M
Downside enterprise value
3.95
6.02
$9.97M
024681012

Present value, $ millions

Terminal period: 61% of base value, and 64% of the loss (author's calculation).

Totals are computed from unrounded components, so rounded parts may differ by 0.01.

Illustrative only. Hypothetical manager from the worked illustration: a 14% discount rate and 2.5% growth applied to assumed cash flows. Concentrated hotel sales reduce enterprise value from $12.12 million to $9.97 million; about two thirds of that reduction falls in the terminal period (author's calculation: $1.39 million of $2.16 million). Figures are not market benchmarks.

Base case and downside enterprise value, split between forecast years and the terminal period
ItemForecast years 1 to 5Terminal periodTotal
Base case enterprise value4.727.4112.12
Loss in the forecast years−0.77−0.77
Loss in the terminal period−1.39−1.39
Downside enterprise value3.956.029.97
Horwath HTL — Valuing a Hotel Management Company: Read the Hotels Behind the Fees 2026